Energy Market: Sideways Moving with Limited Upward Momentum and Tensions Easing in the Middle East

In California’s Elk Hills Oil Field, the oil wells were on display at sunset on April 14th, 2024. The view served as a stark reminder of the changing economic landscape and its impact on the oil industry. Despite a disappointing U.S. economic growth rate of 1.6% in the first quarter, which was lower than expected, crude oil futures still held their ground. However, slower economic growth can have a negative effect on crude oil demand and prices.

On Wednesday, the West Texas Intermediate June contract closed at $82.45 a barrel, down 0.43%, while the Brent June contract closed at $87.62 a barrel, down 0.45%. The RBOB Gasoline May contract was priced at $2.72 a gallon, down 0.36%, and the Natural Gas May contract was $1.62 per 1,000 cubic feet, down 1.63%. Overall, oil prices closed lower on Wednesday due to a slightly bearish market with global inventories on the rise.

Geopolitical risks impacting oil prices have decreased significantly due to tensions between Israel and Iran easing up according to analysts from Piper Sandler. However, despite this positive outlook for investors in the energy sector, concerns remain about limited downside risk in an otherwise sideways moving market with no clear direction for upward momentum until refiners near capacity operate without much-needed capacity additions to meet growing demand for oil products like gasoline and natural gas.

In summary, while California’s Elk Hills Oil Field showcased wells in action during an uncertain economic landscape and geopolitical tensions that impacted oil prices earlier this year; now there are signs of relief as tensions ease up between Israel and Iran but concerns remain about limited downside risk in an otherwise sideways moving market with no clear direction for upward momentum until refiners near capacity operate without much-needed capacity additions to meet growing demand for oil products like gasoline and natural gas.