Iran’s Nuclear Doctrine in Jeopardy: The Impact of Israel and Ongoing Tensions

During a recent statement, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s advisor Kamal Kharazi emphasized that Iran may need to reassess its nuclear doctrine if Israel poses a severe threat to the country’s survival. Kharazi clarified that while Iran has not yet decided to develop nuclear weapons, this stance could change in response to an existential threat. He warned that if Israel were to target Iran’s nuclear facilities, it could prompt a shift in Iran’s deterrence strategy.

Similarly, General Ahmad Hajtalab of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), who oversees nuclear development in the IRGC, also acknowledged the potential need to reassess Iran’s nuclear doctrine following a potential Israeli attack. Analysts suggest that Iran is on the verge of acquiring nuclear weapons and could become a nuclear power in the near future if the leadership decides to pursue this path. However, the final decision rests with Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

In April 2024, Iran launched its first independent attack on Israel, deploying numerous unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), ballistic missiles, and cruise missiles. The majority of these weapons were intercepted and destroyed by Israeli defenses. Reports from Western media outlets indicated that Israel responded with a limited strike aimed at demonstrating force rather than causing significant harm to Iran. The incident underscored the ongoing tensions between Iran and Israel, highlighting the potential impact of these conflicts on Iran’s nuclear doctrine.

The ongoing tensions between Iran and Israel have been escalating for years, with both countries engaging in military actions against each other. This includes cyber-attacks, assassinations of key figures, and support for militant groups in each other’s respective regions. These actions have created an atmosphere of tension and mistrust between the two countries.

As such, it is crucial for both countries to engage in dialogue and find a peaceful solution to their differences. Failure to do so could lead to further escalation of tensions and potentially even war.

In conclusion, while Iran has not yet decided whether or not to develop nuclear weapons, its stance could change in response to an existential threat from Israel or other nations who pose a threat to its survival. It is important for all nations involved in these tensions to engage in dialogue and find peaceful solutions before any further escalation occurs.