Argentina’s economy has been on a steady decline for the past four months, with February seeing a 0.2% monthly decrease in economic activity compared to the previous year. While this was less than the expected 6% decrease according to Bloomberg analysts, it still marks a significant drop.
Since taking office in December, President Javier Milei has implemented measures such as lifting price controls, freezing public works, and devaluing the currency in an attempt to combat inflation. These austerity measures have helped reduce monthly inflation from a three-decade high of 26% in December to its current level of 18%. However, critics argue that these measures are also having a negative impact on economic activity, with construction activity decreasing by 24.6% annually and spending at small- and medium-size businesses falling by 12.6% in March.
Despite these challenges, Milei remains optimistic about the future of Argentina’s economy. In a televised address on Monday night, he touted the country’s first quarterly fiscal surplus since 2008 as a crucial step in combating inflation. However, economists surveyed by Argentina’s central bank are more cautious about the sustainability of this surplus and predict a contraction of 3.5% in gross domestic product for the year. Despite Milei’s optimism, concerns about the economic impact of these austerity measures remain high among experts.